2013 - Year in Review

2013 Panama City Beach condo sales year in review

At the end of 2012, my yearly review showed how condominium prices reached a low point between 2011 and the start of 2012. This bottom point was coupled with an increase in value by 20 to 30 percent during 2011 and 2012 for the most popular buildings. Now the overall market is recovering, but at a slower pace. For some buildings and floor plans, we have no inventory. Most of the available inventory has asking prices that are at least 10% higher than they were a year ago. Short sales and foreclosures are still coming on the market but at a much slower pace and at higher prices.

One Bedroom Condominium Sales

History of one bedroom gulf front condominiums in Panama City Beach built after 2000

Click on image above to see the full size graph

After the market bottomed out in 2011, prices increased by 3.97% in 2012. This increase was higher in 2013 at 9.75%. However, remember that this graph represents a broad look at the market. In 2012, prices were increasing dramatically in the most popular buildings. In 2013, the rest of the market was starting to follow this trend with a slight delay. Also, all sales are specific to certain buildings and floor plans. Two distinct one bedroom floor plans in the same building often have very different sale prices. This contrast is also evident by building. One bedroom floor plans at Calypso will sell in the mid-200s while other buildings are only selling in the mid-100s.

Two Bedroom Condominium Sales

History of two bedroom gulf front condominiums in Panama City Beach built after 2000

Click on image above to see the full size graph

The increase for two bedroom condos in 2012 was more modest at 2.11%. However, in 2013, these prices jumped by 10.68%. Again, this graph shows a broad overview, and prices were variable depending on the floor plan and building in question.

Calypso vs. Sunrise Beach

Click on image below to see the full size graph

Last year, we shared a graph that depicted the differences in sales at Calypso and Sunrise Beach. Clearly, Sunrise Beach did experience the price increase I predicted at that time. Both floor plans saw continued prices increase throughout 2013. While some of the dips look low, they are not as dramatic as they seem. After all, when you consider the cost of furnishing and small renovations in a foreclosed unit, the cost basis is usually about $30,000 to $40,000.

Panama City Beach Condo Sales Volumes

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The overall sales volume in 2013 was similar to that of 2012. In 2012, 764 gulf front condos sold in Panama City Beach. For 2013, sales increased by 2.87% with 786 units sold.

Looking at 2014

In 2014, it is likely that the number of foreclosures and short sales will continue to decrease. Moreover, these properties are coming onto the market at higher price points. However, there are still buildings that have a great deal of distressed inventory. Even so, the overall market demand has outpaced the supply. In 2014, it will be interesting to see the price where supply and demand balances.

Real Estate Market Updates

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People in this conversation

  • al

    I am a real estate investor in Ohio (long term rentals) and we are considering a two bedroom unit in the Horizon south complex (near the south entrance) do you know where I can find estimated occupancy rates for a unit such as this. I have calculated out estimated rental rates but not knowing the short term market too well I cant seem to lock down occ. rates. Any help would be greatly appreciated!

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  • Panama City Beach, FL, USA

    Horizon South is not a property I cover. The onsite management company would be your best bet for getting information on rentals and occupancy rates. You can find them here: http://www.horizonsouth.com/

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  • Sarah

    Salina, KS

    My husband has 2 years before he can retire so we are beginning to look for a condo in Panama City Beach. We currently live in Kansas and own a lakeside cottage in Michigan where we will reside in the summer. We will probably split our time between there and PCB when we make our move. If we do purchase a condo, what are the odds of renting it out during the summer months? For what price? Enough to cover HOA fees for the year?

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  • Panama City, FL 32408, USA

    Most condos will generate more in revenue than expenses, assuming the condo is updated and managed correctly. I know of a remodeled Dunes of Panama 2 bedroom in the E building grossing 24k a year. That is a real number with an end of year rental statement to show it thru the onsite management company; not some magical number that is quoted by an owner but can never be verified. I also know of an identical floor plan in the same building doing 6k in gross revenue. The second condos kitchen, bathrooms and furniture have not been updated. So rental revenue can vary drastically.
    For a good 1 or 2 bedroom condo that rents well you can expect a net income of 1-2% after all expenses (assuming a cash purchase). 3 bedrooms you can expect 2-4%. Some 4 bedrooms you can expect 4-8%.
    So it should be very easy for you to rent your condo out during the peak season and cover your expenses. I hope you found this helpful.

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